The people who focus on the limitations of LLMs might be right. But it’s an academic discussion. The utility we’re getting from them is clearly accelerating.
A simple thought experiment makes this clear. The human brain hasn’t meaningfully evolved in 2,000 years. That hasn’t stopped progress in science, technology, art, or literature. What changed was everything around the brain: tools, technology, institutions, society and accumulated knowledge.
LLMs are at the same kind of inflection point. The model is the brain; the agents, tools, and workflows around it are where the next decade of innovation happens.
My back-of-envelope guess: we get 5–10 years of compounding gains from LLMs even if the models themselves barely improve.